Justin Engel vs Daniel Rincon Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Engel has demonstrated superior performance in winning points on their second serve, achieving a rate of 47.03% compared to Rincon’s 45.31%. How important is this stat? It’s closely linked to match prediction accuracy.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Rincon holds an edge with 46.92% of points won, contrasted with Engel’s 45.24%. For first serve return points, Rincon again leads with 28.48%, outperforming Engel’s 24.87%.
• Under pressure, Engel maintains a slight advantage by saving 60.14% of breakpoints, whereas Rincon manages 53.99%. This critical stat can influence in-game betting predictions.
• In terms of overall success, Engel boasts a 61.64% match-winning rate over the past year, slightly higher than Rincon’s 58.21%.
• Engel excels on clay surfaces with a win rate of 57%, while Rincon shows their best on indoor hard courts, achieving a 67% win rate.
• Engel’s matches are primarily within the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, with an impressive 85.71% win rate. Rincon, however, competes mostly at the Challengers/ITF > $10K level, with a 59.26% success rate.
• Rincon plays against relatively higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 284.76 compared to Engel’s 330.62.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Engel has a favorable edge, prevailing in 71% of deciding sets, compared to Rincon’s 64% success rate.
• Rincon is slightly more effective at converting breakpoints, with a 35.26% success rate, over Engel’s 30.11% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (July 15, 2025, UTC):

Engel’s slight edge in second serve performance and ability to handle pressure by saving more breakpoints could prove significant in the outcome of the match. Additionally, Engel has shown the capability to excel in deciding sets, which may come into play in a tight contest.

However, Rincon’s more effective return game, ability to convert breakpoints, and past experience against higher-ranked players provide a solid foundation that could tilt the match in their favor.

Given Rincon’s strengths in return stats and converting opportunities, combined with their experience at higher-level events, they are assessed as the more likely winner in this upcoming match. Engel’s proficiency under pressure and in deciding sets makes them a close contender but not the favorite.